2026 MIDTERMS

US Senate Forecast

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Republicans

— Seats up for Election

Democrats

51 Seats to Win

US Senate Control Odds

Odds for Republicans and Democrats to win control of the US Senate.

Simulated US Senate Seat Distribution

US Senate seat distribution following simulations based on polling data. Republicans need only 50 seats for control of the US Senate, since Vice President JD Vance breaks all ties in the chamber.

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