Seth Bodnar, 2026 Montana Senate Democratic candidate
Seth Bodnar
INDEPENDENT
President, University of Montana
2018 – 2026
Montana state flag

Montana 2026 SENATE FORECAST

Kurt Alme, 2026 Montana Senate Republican candidate
Kurt Alme
REPUBLICAN
US Attorney, District of Montana (R)
2025 – 2026

2026 Montana Senate

Year
2026
Race
Senate
State
Montana
Democratic candidate
Seth Bodnar
Republican candidate
Kurt Alme
Incumbent / open seat
Open seat
Forecast rating
Likely R
Projected margin
R +9.0
Projected vote
45.5% D / 54.5% R
Forecast odds
16.7% D / 83.3% R
Forecast last updated
12:00 AM on June 18, 2026
Polling average
48.0% D / 52.0% R
Polling average margin
R +4.0
Polling last updated
May 18, 2026
Polls included
1
Latest poll
Tavern Research (D) — May 18, 2026