Don Leonard, 2026 House candidate
Don Leonard
DEMOCRATIC
Professor, The Ohio State University

2026 Ohio 15th District House Polls

Mike Carey, 2026 House candidate
Mike Carey*
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-OH)
2021 – Present

2026 Ohio 15th District House Polling Average:

Aggregate of all polls released for Ohio's 15th congressional district House election between Democrat Don Leonard and Republican Mike Carey. This page will update the moment new polls are released, including the polling average, projected margin, and survey details.

Year
2026
Race
House
District
OH-15
Democratic candidate
Don Leonard
Republican candidate
Mike Carey
Incumbent / open seat
Mike Carey
Polling average
35.8% D / 44.0% R
Polling average margin
R +8.2
Last updated
12:00 AM on August 9, 2026
Polls included
3
Latest poll
Hart Research (D) — August 9, 2026

Ohio 15th District House Polling Trend

2026 Ohio 15th district House Polling Average

Mike Carey leads Don Leonard by 8.2% in the Pollsmax polling average for the 2026 Ohio 15th district House election, 44.0% to 35.8%. The average currently aggregates results from 3 polls. According to the latest Ohio 15th district House poll, conducted by Hart Research (D) on August 9, Carey leads Leonard 41% to 37%.

Democrat

%

Weighted polling average

Republican

%

Weighted polling average

Net margin

Polling average difference

Polls Included

Number of polls conducted

Latest Ohio 15th District House Polls

Pollster
Date
Sample
Mike Carey
Don Leonard
Margin
Polling Average
44.0%
35.8%
R +8.2
Hart Research (D)
August 9, 2026
401 LV
41%
37%
R +4.0
Hart Research (D)
June 25, 2026
550 LV
45%
40%
R +5.0
Tavern Research (D)
May 21, 2026
1,141 LV
39%
36%
R +3.0

About the Pollsmax Polling Average

Pollsmax creates a time-weighted and partisanship-adjusted polling average from an aggregate of all polls conducted for the general election. See the polling methodology to learn more about how polls are standardized and weighted.